Back

European Radiology

○ Springer Science and Business Media LLC

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match European Radiology's content profile, based on 15 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.03% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

1
Deep Learning-Based Anatomical Level Classification of Craniofacial CT Slices: Comparison of CNN Architectures and Ensemble Methods

Nishimoto, S.; Nakajima, K.; Yoshiike, H.; Ishise, H.; Saito, T.; Kawai, K.

2026-10-19 radiology and imaging 10.64898/2026.10.16.26365710 medRxiv
Top 0.1%
23.3%
Show abstract

Computed tomography (CT) interpretation requires recognition of the anatomical level of each slice. Classification may facilitate preprocessing and AI-assisted fracture diagnosis. We developed deep learning models to classify craniofacial CT slices into six anatomical categories. A total of 11,769 images were collected from a multicenter database involving 10 Japanese university hospitals and the public Head-Neck-Radiomics-HN1 dataset. Patients were divided into training (70%) and evaluation (30%) sets. Five CNN architectures were trained from scratch, and hard- and soft-voting ensembles were evaluated. Individual-model accuracy ranged from 94.72% to 96.09%; the hard-voting ensemble achieved 96.46% accuracy (Cohen's k = 0.954). Although performance differed among individual models (Cochran's Q = 99.29, p < 0.001), the ensemble did not significantly outperform EfficientNetV2B1 (McNemar's p = 0.163). Errors occurred mainly between adjacent anatomical regions. Deep learning can classify craniofacial CT slices accurately and may support automated dataset organization and AI-assisted fracture diagnosis. External validation is needed.

2
Clinical referral text overrides MRI evidence in multimodal large language models: glioma versus brain abscess

Beste, N. C.; Bauer, F.; Lopez, N.; Schoemig, T.; Schoenfeld, M.; Zopfs, D.; Goertz, L.; Persigehl, T.; Kabbasch, C.; Schlamann, M.; Maintz, D.; Gertz, R. J.; Weitzer, N.; Kottlors, J.

2026-10-19 radiology and imaging 10.64898/2026.10.17.26365809 medRxiv
Top 0.1%
19.6%
Show abstract

Objectives: To determine how strongly clinical referral text, rather than image content, drives the decisions of multimodal large language models (LLMs) differentiating glioma from brain abscess on MRI. Materials and methods: This retrospective single-center study included 60 contrast-enhanced T1-weighted brain MRI examinations (30 gliomas, 30 abscesses; reference-standard diagnosis). One axial slice per case was paired with five referral texts (explicitly inflammatory to explicitly tumor-suggestive) under three prompt instructions and submitted 20 times each to GPT-4o, Claude Sonnet 5, Gemini 3.5 Flash, and Qwen 3.6 (72,000 answers). The primary outcome was the text-driven span (difference in tumor-call frequency between explicit inflammatory and explicit tumor text). Two blinded radiologists classified the images without text; sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy were compared descriptively. Results: Patients (29 women) had a mean age of 55.8 +/- 16.4 years. With neutral text, models answered tumor in 45-67% of queries (specificity, 0.38-0.78), versus 52% and 60% for radiologists (specificity, 0.77 and 0.63). The text-driven span was 0.79-1.00 (p < 0.001 for all models), whereas confirmed gliomas and abscesses differed by only 0.01-0.10 in three models and 0.25 in Gemini 3.5 Flash. Subtle wording produced at least 83% of the span in three models. An instruction to ignore the text reduced the span to 0.48-0.70 in three models and to 0.04 in Gemini 3.5 Flash, partly through reversion to a tumor default. Model accuracy was 0.52-0.73 versus 0.78 and 0.73 for radiologists. Conclusion: Multimodal LLMs deferred to referral text over imaging evidence in differentiating glioma from brain abscess, and prompt instructions did not reliably correct this.

3
Discrepancies in Interpretation of Japanese Radiology Report Expressions Between Radiologists and Referring Physicians

Yamaguchi, T.; Matsuo, H.; Nishio, M.; Inukai, J. I.; Matsunaga, T.; Kojita, Y.; Sofue, K.; Murakami, T.

2026-10-21 radiology and imaging 10.64898/2026.10.19.26364709 medRxiv
Top 0.1%
15.5%
Show abstract

Objectives To evaluate discrepancies between radiologists and referring physicians in the interpretation of diagnostic probabilities conveyed by common Japanese expressions used in radiology reports. Materials and Methods Fifteen expressions commonly used to convey diagnostic probabilities in radiology reports were selected by five attending radiologists. An anonymous online survey was distributed to 26 radiologists and 33 referring physicians at a single institution. Participants assigned a diagnostic probability (from 0% to 100% in 10% increments) to each expression. Differences in median probabilities between radiologists and referring physicians were analyzed using the Mann-Whitney U test. Variability in interpretation was assessed using interquartile range (IQR), with IQR [&ge;] 30% defined as substantial variability. Results All radiologists (26/26) and 97% of referring physicians (32/33) completed the survey. Seven of the 15 expressions showed statistically significant differences in interpretation between radiologists and referring physicians: "c/w" (80% vs. 60%; p = 0.031), the Japanese equivalents of "present" (100% vs. 100%; p = 0.024), "suspect of" (80% vs. 70%; p = 0.007), "possibly" (50% vs. 70%; p < 0.001), "unlikely" (10% vs. 10%; p = 0.022), "cannot be ruled out" (25% vs. 40%; p < 0.001), and "not inconsistent with" (80% vs. 90%; p = 0.008). Substantial variability in interpretation (IQR [&ge;] 30%) was observed for four expressions: "cannot be ruled out" (IQR, 10%-40%), "s/o" (IQR, 60%-90%), "c/w" (IQR, 50%-90%), and "not inconsistent with" (IQR, 70%-100%). Conclusion This study revealed that nearly half of the Japanese expressions commonly used to convey diagnostic probabilities were interpreted differently by radiologists and referring physicians. These discrepancies highlight the need for a standardized lexicon to improve clarity and consistency in radiology reporting.

4
Disagreement between AI and Radiologists: Quantifying Direction and Fragility

El Kaddouri, B.; Gevenois, P. A.; Bankier, A. A.

2026-10-21 radiology and imaging 10.64898/2026.10.19.26364791 medRxiv
Top 0.1%
9.1%
Show abstract

Background: Conventional performance metrics do not indicate whether artificial intelligence (AI)-platforms and radiologists are right or wrong on the same examinations, nor whether their non-agreement is more often beneficial or harmful. Objective: To develop, illustrate, and apply directional metrics quantifying non-agreement between radiologists and AI-platforms against a common reference standard, and to adapt a fragility-based framework for quantifying the statistical robustness of these metrics. Methods: We defined Positive Non-Agreement (PNA, AI-platform correct, radiologist incorrect), Negative Non-Agreement (NNA, radiologist correct, AI-platform incorrect), and Net Non-Agreement (NENA, their difference). Metrics were illustrated in three hypothetical scenarios of 1,000 examinations each and applied to three previously published AI-radiologist studies on pulmonary embolism and mammography. Bootstrap confidence intervals were calculated, and a reclassification fragility index (FI) quantified the minimum case reclassification needed to remove statistical support for NENA's direction. Results: In illustration, NENA was positive in two scenarios and negative in one. In the three published studies, NENA ranged from -4.18% to +10.74% and decreased consistently with increasing radiologist experience (junior residents, +6.27%; consultants, +1.45%), a gradient driven primarily by declining PNA with modest increase in NNA. The reclassification FI was defined for all three illustrative scenarios (range, 0.10%-1.70%) and for six of the seven comparisons from these studies (range, 0.34%-4.31%), but not for the weakest comparison, whose confidence interval for NENA included zero. Conclusions: PNA, NNA, and NENA provide a directional, case-level complement to conventional performance metrics for AI-radiologist non-agreement. The accompanying reclassification FI offers a statistically grounded, generalizable method for quantifying their robustness.

5
Calibration, Uncertainty, and Data Efficiency of Deep Learning Chest Radiograph Classifiers Under Cross-Dataset Distribution Shift: A Multi-Dataset Benchmark

Shamim, F.; Hussain, R. A.

2026-10-15 radiology and imaging 10.64898/2026.10.14.26365516 medRxiv
Top 0.2%
4.3%
Show abstract

Purpose To evaluate the external transportability of source-derived probability calibration for chest radiograph deep learning classifiers under distribution shift and determine its dependence on sample size and disease prevalence. Materials and Methods This retrospective secondary computational analysis of public, de-identified radiographic datasets involved no participant contact or new data collection. Cohort sizes were prespecified by availability without prospective power calculation: 106,686 NIH ChestX-ray14 images (29,323 patients; 1992-2015) for development and internal testing, 20,000 CheXpert images (20,000 patients; October 2002-July 2017), and 14,998 VinBigData images (2018-2020) for external testing. ResNet-18, DenseNet-121, and DeiT-Tiny classifiers for cardiomegaly and pleural effusion were trained across four patient fractions and three seeds (36 fits). Calibrators were fitted exclusively on NIH data. Twelve primary external Brier-score contrasts (temperature-scaled versus raw probabilities) were evaluated using paired cluster-bootstrapping with Holm adjustment. Results Temperature scaling reduced Brier scores in nine of 12 primary contrasts but worsened pleural effusion calibration on VinBigData across all architectures (Brier increases: ResNet-18, 0.001460 [95% CI: 0.001347, 0.001568]; DenseNet-121, 0.001193 [95% CI: 0.001109, 0.001274]; DeiT-Tiny, 0.000498 [95% CI: 0.000417, 0.000577]; all adjusted P=.006). Standardizing class weights to NIH prevalence reversed all CheXpert improvements. Although full versus 10% training improved external AUROC across all comparisons, DeiT-Tiny CheXpert pleural effusion Brier score worsened by 0.007039 despite a 0.032466 AUROC gain. At 80% selective image retention, calibrated ensembles retained only 12.3%-17.2% of VinBigData positive pleural effusion examinations. Conclusion Source-fitted calibration is not uniformly transportable across health systems, and discrimination gains do not guarantee calibrated probabilities. External evaluation must simultaneously assess probability reliability, prevalence shifts, and retained-case composition.

6
Performance of Contemporary Large Language Models on the National Prosthodontic Resident Examination: A Multi-Year Comparative Study

Chen, Y.-w.; Bhunyanaphakul, V.; Kosago, P.; Finkelman, M.; Lee, D. J.

2026-10-21 dentistry and oral medicine 10.64898/2026.10.19.26365937 medRxiv
Top 0.2%
3.4%
Show abstract

Purpose: To compare the performance of three large language models (LLMs), ChatGPT-o1, Grok 3, and Gemini 2.0 Pro, on the American College of Prosthodontists' National Prosthodontic Resident Examination (NPRE). Materials and Methods: Official NPRE examinations from years 2015-2024 were retrieved from the American College of Prosthodontists website and used to prompt each LLM. Paid access tiers and advanced reasoning were enabled. Responses from LLMs were recorded and compared against the official answer keys for accuracy, variability across years, and consistency of responses. Duplicate questions were retained for the primary analysis and removed in a sensitivity analysis. Accuracy (percent correct) was compared using generalized estimating equations binary logistic regression (primary); Cochran's Q with Bonferroni-adjusted McNemar tests (sensitivity). Year-to-year variability (SD of annual accuracy) was compared using weighted Levene tests. Consistency across duplicate items was quantified as the percentage of perfect matches and compared using Cochran's Q with Bonferroni-adjusted McNemar tests. Results: Across 1,487 questions, overall accuracy differed among models (global P < 0.001). ChatGPT-o1 achieved 78.4% correct, Grok 3 76.4%, and Gemini 2.0 Pro 73.2%; ChatGPT-o1 and Grok 3's accuracy significantly exceeded Gemini 2.0 Pro (both P [&le;] 0.016), with no significant difference between ChatGPT-o1 and Grok 3 (P = 0.099). After removing duplicates (n = 1,200), results were similar: ChatGPT-o1, Grok 3, and Gemini 2.0 Pro were 77.1%, 76.6%, and 71.5% correct, respectively; ChatGPT-o1 and Grok 3's accuracy was significantly higher than Gemini 2.0 Pro (both P < 0.001). Variability across years did not differ significantly (P [&ge;] 0.097). Grok 3 showed significantly higher perfect-match consistency (79.2%) than ChatGPT-o1 (69.4%) and Gemini 2.0 Pro (64.5%) (P [&le;] 0.010). Conclusions: Contemporary LLMs showed 70-80% accuracy on postgraduate prosthodontic multiple-choice content. While promising for educational support, residual error and inconsistency warrant human oversight and transparent methods reporting before curricular adoption.

7
Quantifying the Pharyngeal Wall Thickness on Modified Barium Swallow Studies: A Scoping Review and Reliability Study

Mao, S.; McMillan, H.; Leone, J. D.; Barbon, C. E. A.; Buoy, S. N.; Brock, K. K.; Lai, S.; Naser, M. A.; Fuller, C. D.; Hutcheson, K. A.; InHANCE Research Program Working Group,

2026-10-19 radiology and imaging 10.64898/2026.10.17.26365811 medRxiv
Top 0.2%
2.6%
Show abstract

Purpose: Posterior pharyngeal wall (PPW) thickening is a common structural manifestation of treatment-related internal lymphedema in patients with head and neck cancer and can be evaluated using lateral videofluoroscopic images acquired during modified barium swallow (MBS) studies. However, no standardized method currently exists for quantitative measurement. Methods: This two-phase methodological study first conducted a scoping review to characterize existing approaches to PPW thickness measurement and identify the principal factors contributing to variation in PPW thickness measurement. Eight studies were identified with variation observed across these measurement factors. An empirical reliability study was then performed using 107 MBS studies from 93 Head and Neck Cancer patients. Two independent raters annotated 10 anatomical landmarks on pre-swallow and post-swallow resting frames, and a computer-assisted algorithm quantitatively generated seven candidate PPW thickness measurements based on different vertebral reference points and measurement directions. Reliability was assessed intraclass correlation coefficients (ICCs). Results: Inter-rater reliability was highest for the measurement originating from the midpoint of C3 and extending perpendicular to the anterior C3 surface (ICC, 0.78; 95% CI, 0.72-0.83). Among the normalization references, C2-C4 vertebral length demonstrated greater reliability than C3 vertebral length, with an ICC of 0.88 (95% CI, 0.85-0.91). No significant differences were observed between pre-swallow and post-swallow PPW thickness measurements across the evaluated approaches. Conclusions: These findings provide a methodological foundation for more standardized and reliable quantification of PPW thickness, with potential to expand the role of MBS from the functional evaluation of swallowing to include quantitative characterization of pharyngeal structural abnormalities.

8
Evaluating the Interplay and Impact of Quality and Technical Variations on Performance of AI Models in Multi-Institutional Prostate MRI Datasets

Azamat, S.; Singh, A.; Midya, A.; Zhang, Z.; Gilkey, M.; Hajibonabi, F.; Sompalle, P.; Rastinehad, A.; Verma, S.; Kikano, E. G.; Sanda, M.; Hajiha, M. N.; Shiradkar, R.; Viswanath, S. E.; Madabhushi, A.

2026-10-19 radiology and imaging 10.64898/2026.01.19.26344376 medRxiv
Top 0.3%
1.9%
Show abstract

Purpose: To evaluate whether visually assessed high-quality prostate MRI, as defined by the Prostate Imaging Quality (PI-QUAL) scoring system, is sufficient to ensure consistent AI model performance, or whether hidden acquisition-related technical effects introduce variability that cannot be detected through visual inspection. Methods: This retrospective study included 568 bpMRI scans from seven institutions, classified using PI-QUAL v2 into high-quality (scores 2-3) and low-quality (score 1) groups. Quantitative image quality features were extracted using MRQy from T2w and ADC sequences. Three experiments were conducted on high-quality scans: (1) unsupervised clustering to identify hidden technical batch effects; (2) V-Net models (M) for prostate capsule segmentation on T2w using single-cluster and balanced multi-cluster training strategies; and (3) VoxelMorph-based deformable registration (M2) to align ADC maps to T2w images. Performance metrics included DSC, precision, recall, volume ratio, HD95, ASSD, and TRE. Kruskal-Wallis tests assessed cross-cluster variability, Two One-Sided Tests (TOST) evaluated performance equivalence, and bootstrap resampling quantified training efficiency. Results: Clustering identified four clusters among 277 high-quality bpMRI scans. Single-cluster models showed variable performance (DSC=0.41-0.85) with significant batch effects (p<0.001), even with 140 training samples. The balanced multi-cluster model (n=60) eliminated batch effects (p=0.075), achieved equivalent performance (p<0.001), and demonstrated 2.23-fold greater training efficiency despite using 2.3-fold fewer samples. Registration performance also varied significantly across clusters (TRE=0.86-5.47 mm, p<0.001). Conclusion: Acquisition-related batch effects significantly impact AI generalizability in prostate MRI, even among high-quality scans. Quantitative clustering enables detection of technical variations and supports diversity-aware training strategies that achieve equivalent performance with 2.3-fold fewer samples while eliminating batch effects.

9
Tracheal Eccentricity is Associated with Respiratory Morbidity and Mortality in Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease

Aguilera, S. M.; Sthanam, V.; Chaudhary, M. F. A.; Nakhmani, A.; Reinhardt, J.; Bhatt, S. P.; Bodduluri, S.

2026-10-20 respiratory medicine 10.64898/2026.10.14.26361560 medRxiv
Top 0.4%
1.3%
Show abstract

Background: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is characterized by airway remodeling, which may extend to the central airways and alter tracheal morphology. Whether tracheal shape relates to disease severity, quality of life, functional capacity, or survival is not established. Objective: To determine whether CT-derived tracheal lumen eccentricity is associated with cross-sectional and longitudinal clinical outcomes in COPD. Methods: We analyzed 8,383 participants from the multicenter COPDGene study. At each axial cross-section of the trachea, lumen eccentricity ({epsilon}) was computed from the major and minor axis lengths, and the participant-level value was taken as the arithmetic mean across all tracheal slices; {epsilon} = 0 denotes a circular lumen and values approaching 1 denote progressively elongated ellipses. Baseline outcomes were spirometry, 6-minute walk distance (6MWD), St. George's Respiratory Questionnaire (SGRQ) total score, and modified Medical Research Council (mMRC) dyspnea score. Longitudinal outcomes were annualized change in FEV1 and all-cause mortality. Multivariable linear and Cox proportional hazards models were adjusted for [age, sex, race, BMI, smoking status, pack-years, scanner model]. Results: Tracheal eccentricity rose monotonically with severity of airflow obstruction (0.60{+/-}0.07, 0.61{+/-}0.07, 0.62{+/-}0.07, 0.64{+/-}0.08, and 0.64{+/-}0.08 in GOLD stages 0 through 4, respectively). Higher eccentricity was independently associated with lower FEV1 ({beta} = -0.30 L, 95% CI -0.47 to -0.14; p < 0.001), lower FEV1/FVC ({beta} = -0.06, 95% CI -0.09 to -0.04; p < 0.001), shorter 6MWD ({beta} = -15.7 m, 95% CI -25.2 to -6.2; p = 0.001), higher SGRQ score ({beta} = 16.9, 95% CI 11.2 to 22.5; p < 0.001), higher mMRC dyspnea score ({beta} = 0.4, 95% CI 0.1 to 0.6; p = 0.007), and accelerated lung function decline ({beta} = -23.8 mL/year, 95% CI -45.13 to -2.48; p = 0.029). Eccentricity was also associated with all-cause mortality (adjusted HR 1.81, 95% CI 1.01 to 3.26; p = 0.047). Conclusions: Tracheal lumen eccentricity is associated with worse quality of life, reduced functional capacity, accelerated lung function decline, and mortality in COPD, supporting central airway morphology as a candidate imaging biomarker.

10
A Toolkit for Health-economic Analysis with Language-Agnostic Simulation and Sensitivity Analysis (THALASSA)

Gomez-Guillen, D.; Fernandez-Lopez, D.; Cerquides, J.; Arcos, J. L.; Diaz, M.

2026-10-20 health economics 10.64898/2026.10.17.26365802 medRxiv
Top 0.4%
1.2%
Show abstract

Background: Cost-effectiveness analyses (CEA) built on simulation models are usually delivered through project-specific scripts. Each new model, and often each new question, rebuilds the same scaffolding: parameter management, calibration, base-case analysis, sensitivity analysis and export. This is costly, and is where traceability between an estimate and the model version producing it is lost. We present THALASSA, a web application providing this infrastructure once, for any model satisfying a small programming contract. Methods: A simulation model is connected by one file implementing a fixed contract of R functions that determine its behaviour. THALASSA exposes the complete CEA workflow in a browser: a generated overview of the connected model, parameter editing, calibration, base-case comparison with the efficiency curve, and deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analysis at a willingness-to-pay threshold, each with timestamped file export carrying the parameter values it was run with. Every session is bound to a repository version, so results carry their generating model version. Results: We demonstrate THALASSA on two public models of contrasting difficulty: a simple tutorial model and a generic cancer screening model with two competing natural-history pathways and a 21-dimensional calibration deliberately built to be more complex. Both ran on the same unmodified setup, implementing the same contract, with no code changes. Conclusions: Separating analysis infrastructure from model logic makes the CEA workflow reusable across projects and reproducible by construction. A modelling team can move from a versioned repository to audit-ready, exportable CEA outputs without writing analysis code. The integration effort does not grow with model size and one installation serves unrelated projects.

11
Prognostic significance of the C-reactive protein-albumin-lymphocyte (CALLY) index in primary lung malignancies: a systematic review and meta-analysis with GRADE assessment

Shamohammadi, M.; Yarahmadi, D.; Naseri Rad, F.; Patel, I.; Yarahmadi, M.; Rashidi, A.; Yarahmadi, A.; Kordestani Moghadam, P.; Naghavi, N.

2026-10-20 oncology 10.64898/2026.10.18.26365819 medRxiv
Top 0.4%
1.2%
Show abstract

Background: The C-reactive protein-albumin-lymphocyte (CALLY) index integrates systemic inflammation, nutritional status, and immune function. We evaluated its association with survival in primary lung malignancies. Methods: Embase, PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science were searched from inception to 18 September 2026. Risk of bias was assessed using the Quality In Prognosis Studies tool. Hazard ratios (HRs) were synthesized using random-effects models with restricted maximum likelihood estimation and Hartung-Knapp adjustment. Sensitivity analyses, subgroup analyses, and meta-regression examined robustness and heterogeneity. Results: Eleven studies contributed 13 cohorts to the overall survival (OS) analysis and 8 cohorts from seven studies to a combined recurrence/progression-free survival (RFS/PFS) analysis. Lower CALLY was associated with poorer OS (HR 1.78, 95% CI 1.49-2.12; I2=71.6%) and poorer RFS/PFS (HR 1.60, 95% CI 1.40-1.84; I2=0%). Associations persisted in leave-one-out analyses. No statistically significant subgroup differences were detected. Funnel-plot asymmetry suggested small-study effects for OS and RFS/PFS. Seven studies had moderate and four had high overall risk of bias. The certainty of evidence was rated as low for both OS and RFS/PFS, primarily due to risk of bias, heterogeneity, and endpoint indirectness. Conclusion: Lower CALLY was associated with adverse survival outcomes in the current synthesis. Methodological limitations and variation in biomarker measurement and endpoint definitions restrict interpretation. Prospective validation using standardized measurements and clinically coherent outcomes is needed to establish incremental prognostic value and clinical utility. Keywords: CALLY index; lung cancer; prognosis; overall survival; systematic review; meta-analysis

12
Vascular Proximity Coverage: A Novel CT-Based Marker of Pulmonary Vascular Distance to the Lung Parenchyma

Aguilera, S. M.; Sthanam, V. L.; Nakhmani, A.; Dransfield, M. T.; Bhatt, S. P.; Bodduluri, S.

2026-10-19 radiology and imaging 10.64898/2026.10.15.26365547 medRxiv
Top 0.5%
1.0%
Show abstract

Rationale: Conventional CT-derived pulmonary vascular metrics quantify vascular pruning but do not assess the spatial heterogeneity of vascular architecture. In COPD, peripheral microvascular pruning coexists with compensatory central vessel dilation, paradoxically preserving total vessel volume while reducing effective vascular penetration into lung parenchyma. Objectives: To develop and evaluate Vascular Proximity Coverage (VPC), a distance-based CT biomarker quantifying the spatial efficiency of pulmonary vascular distribution. Methods: This retrospective analysis included 7,881 COPDGene participants [PHASE] with complete vascular segmentations. VPC was estimated by integrating the area under the cumulative lung tissue coverage curve at distances of 0-10 mm from segmented vessel voxels. Multivariable models assessed associations with lung function, six-minute walk distance (6MWD), St. George's Respiratory Questionnaire (SGRQ) score, mMRC dyspnea score, and all-cause mortality over a median follow-up of [10.8] years, adjusting for demographics, smoking, emphysema, scanner type, and BV5. The cohort was stratified at median BV5 and VPC into concordant (high/high, low/low) and discordant (high-BV5/low-VPC, low-BV5/high-VPC) vascular phenotypes. Results: VPC declined across disease severity (5.82 {+/-} 0.50 [UNITS] in non-smokers to 5.21 {+/-} 0.64 in GOLD 4; p < 0.001). Among spirometrically normal smokers, current smokers had lower VPC than former smokers (5.31 vs. 5.68; p < 0.001). Each standard deviation decrease in VPC was independently associated with reduced 6MWD ({beta} = -16.8 m, 95% CI: -19.5 to -14.0), worse SGRQ ({beta} = 1.9, 95% CI: 1.4 to 2.4), and greater dyspnea (RR = 1.05, 95% CI: 1.03 to 1.08; all p < 0.001). The lowest VPC quartile was associated with 38% higher mortality than the reference quartile (HR = 1.38, 95% CI: 1.18 to 1.62; p < 0.001). The high-BV5/low-VPC phenotype showed 24% higher mortality than high-BV5/high-VPC (HR = 1.24, 95% CI: 1.08 to 1.42; p = 0.002) despite preserved vessel volume. Conclusions: VPC captures spatial heterogeneity of vascular architecture independent of vessel volume, is reduced in smokers without airflow obstruction, and identifies excess mortality risk among individuals whose total vessel volume appears preserved.

13
Documented Dental Disease in Patients With Staphylococcus aureus Bacteremia

Ssentongo, P.; Peacock, W. F.; Durieux, J. C.; Colovos, C.

2026-10-20 dentistry and oral medicine 10.64898/2026.10.18.26365833 medRxiv
Top 0.7%
0.5%
Show abstract

Importance: Clinicians often look for a dental source in Staphylococcus aureus bacteremia (SAB), but how often dental disease is found, compared with other bacteremias, is unclear. Objective: To compare documented dental disease in adults with SAB, Escherichia coli bacteremia, and a general population cohort. Design, Setting, and Participants: Retrospective cohort study in the Protege database of 48 975 adults with bacteremia from January 1, 2015, through December 31, 2023, assigned by earliest in-window organism, and 81 945 general population adults. Exposures: SAB, with E coli bacteremia as the primary comparator and the general population as the secondary comparator. Main Outcomes and Measures: Documented dental disease from 7 days before through 30 days after index, defined by a qualifying dental procedure or disease-specific note text and adjusted for age, sex, race, and documentation intensity. Results: Dental disease occurred in 528 of 16 435 patients with SAB (3.21%) and 179 of 24 942 patients with E coli bacteremia (0.72%). The adjusted odds ratio was 3.86 (95% CI, 3.23 to 4.63). By the pathology-only definition, disease occurred in 517 patients with SAB (3.15%) and 399 general population patients (0.49%). The adjusted odds ratio was 3.71 (95% CI, 3.08 to 4.46). Within SAB, rates were highest with prior infective endocarditis (9.8%), opioid use disorder (6.2%), injection drug use (5.3%), and prosthetic valve (5.0%). Prevalence ranged from 0.49% in the general population to 7.98% in other streptococcal bacteremia. Of 437 patients with SAB and an assignable first finding date, 333 (76.2%) had the finding after the index date. Conclusions and Relevance: Dental disease was documented more often in SAB than in E coli bacteremia after adjustment. Most findings were first recorded after bacteremia was recognized, during SAB evaluation. These data do not show that dental disease caused the bacteremia.

14
Scaled m-BonacciNet: A Recurrence-Guided Lightweight CNN for Efficient Medical Image Classification

Habib, G.; Thakur, S.; Shaban, M.; Ahmad, R.; Malik, I. A.

2026-10-19 radiology and imaging 10.64898/2026.10.18.26362018 medRxiv
Top 0.7%
0.5%
Show abstract

The -Bonacci weighted sequence space {ell}(,) is introduced for [&ge;] 2, 1 [&le;] < {infty}, and > 0). It is proved to be a Banach space which is isometrically isomorphic to {ell}, with an unconditional Schauder basis. The space is also reflexive and uniformly convex. Its strict inclusion chain, continuous dual, and asymptotic truncation estimate of order - / are also established. Based on this framework, Scaled &#119898-BonacciNet is proposed as a lightweight CNN that rescales Fibonacci-Net channels using the dominant &#119898-Bonacci root and employs depth wise separable convolutions. Tribonacci-Net achieved 96.09% accuracy and a 0.9581 macro F1-score on the 15-class Brain MRI dataset using 0.85 million parameters and 0.366 GFLOPs. Pentanacci-Net attained 95.87% accuracy on the 44-class dataset while reducing parameters and FLOPs by 47.10% and 44.48%, respectively. On the CKD ultrasound dataset, Hexanacci-Net achieved 83.75% accuracy and a 0.7941 macro F1-score, with corresponding reductions of 50.37% and 45.10%. These findings support dominant-root scaling as a structured approach to lightweight CNN design.

15
The Effect of Regionalization of Thoracic Surgery on Blood Transfusion at the Ottawa Hospital

Smith, J.; Smith, B.; Pittman, T.

2026-10-19 health economics 10.64898/2026.10.15.26365639 medRxiv
Top 0.8%
0.4%
Show abstract

This paper examines the impact of Cancer Care Ontario's regionalization of lung cancer surgery on blood transfusion use for thoracic surgery at The Ottawa Hospital. Using aggregate data scraped from the paper ''Changing trends in blood transfusion: an analysis of 244,013 hospitalizations'' by Shehata et al. (2014) we estimated the effect regionalization on the log mean number of blood transfusions among thoracic surgeons (who treat lung cancer), utilizing other surgical specialties as controls. We found that the average number of blood transfusions increased significantly among thoracic surgeons following the opening of a new cancer care centre at the hospital in December 2009, while control specialties showed no parallel change. Contextualizing these results in a modified ''population level'' treatment threshold model, it is argued that the main driver of this increase in blood transfusions among thoracic surgeons was due to the influx of less skilled thoracic surgeons to The Ottawa Hospital, and the closing of thoracic surgery units at smaller hospitals which was part of the broader regionalization process.

16
Self-supervised pretraining for dermoscopic lesion segmentation with limited labels: A controlled comparison of initialisation strategies

Hamda, H. K. H.; Mustafa, S.; Khalili Moghaddam, G.

2026-10-15 dermatology 10.64898/2026.10.14.26365443 medRxiv
Top 0.8%
0.4%
Show abstract

Background: Self-supervised learning may improve segmentation when labelled data are limited, but its benefit may depend on model and initialisation strategy. This study evaluated in-domain masked-reconstruction pretraining across limited annotation budgets. Methods: The International Skin Imaging Collaboration (ISIC) 2016 development set was partitioned into 765 images for self-supervised pretraining, 94 for fine-tuning and 41 for validation. Five nested annotation budgets (12-94 images) and five seeds were evaluated on the 379-image test set. A custom U-Net compared random and in-domain self-supervised initialisation; a ResNet-34 U-Net compared random, ImageNet, in-domain self-supervised and sequential ImageNet-to-self-supervised initialisation. Models trained with 94 labelled images were evaluated without adaptation on ISIC 2017. A separate experiment examined restoration-based pretraining. Results: In the custom U-Net, self-supervised pretraining achieved higher mean Dice than random initialisation at all five budgets, including 0.664 versus 0.615 with 12 labels and 0.811 versus 0.768 with 94 labels. Seed-level 95% confidence intervals for paired differences excluded zero at 47 and 94 labels but not at the other budgets. With 47 labels, the self-supervised model achieved mean Dice of 0.789, compared with 0.768 for random initialisation with 94 labels. In ResNet-34, ImageNet initialisation achieved higher mean Dice than in-domain self-supervised pretraining at all five budgets, and adding self-supervised pretraining after ImageNet reduced mean Dice at four of five budgets. All six 94-label configurations achieved lower mean Dice on ISIC 2017 than ISIC 2016. In the restoration experiment, mean Dice was 0.686 with random initialisation and 0.638-0.642 following pretraining. Conclusions: In-domain masked-reconstruction pretraining improved mean Dice relative to random initialisation in the custom U-Net, but not consistently in the ResNet-34 U-Net, where ImageNet initialisation performed better at every budget. Adding self-supervised pretraining after ImageNet provided no consistent gain. These findings are specific to the dermoscopic lesion-segmentation experiments and do not establish melanoma-specific diagnostic or clinical performance.

17
Structural damage of the cervical spinal cord within and beyond the maximal compression area in mucopolysaccharidosis types I and VI

Nestrasil, I.; Lenglet, C.; Krasovec, I.; Mueller, B. A.; Ahmed, A.; Bondy, M. T.; Labounkova, I.; Chekouo, T.; Svatkova, A.; Whitley, C. B.; Labounek, R.

2026-10-21 radiology and imaging 10.64898/2026.10.21.26365852 medRxiv
Top 0.9%
0.3%
Show abstract

Background: Cervical spinal cord (CSC) compression and myelopathy are frequent, severe complications in mucopolysaccharidosis (MPS) types I and VI. Early detection is critical to prevent irreversible neurological deficits and preserve quality of life. This prospective study aimed to identify quantitative neuroimaging biomarkers of structural CSC damage and myelopathy in MPS I and VI. Methods: Structural and diffusion magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) of the CSC was analyzed in 17 MPS I patients, 3 MPS VI patients (19{+/-}7 years), and 19 case-matched healthy controls (20{+/-}7 years). CSC macrostructure (cross-sectional area, diameters) and microstructure (fractional anisotropy [FA], radial [RD], mean, axial diffusivities) were evaluated within and beyond the maximal compression areas. Results: MPS patients demonstrated reduced CSC cross-sectional area and anterior-posterior diameter at upper cervical levels, alongside widespread microstructural alterations (lower FA, higher RD) throughout the CSC versus controls (pFDR<0.05). Restricted foramen magnum space was associated with microstructural damage at lower cervical levels without overt macrostructural compression. Morphological and microstructural metrics were sensitive to CSC compression and myelopathy severity (pFDR<0.05). Lower CSC integrity correlated with more advanced growth retardation (p<0.001). Among patients receiving hematopoietic stem cell transplantation, earlier treatment correlated with preserved upper CSC morphology (p<0.05). Distinct neuroimaging phenotypes were observed across MPS genotypes (pFDR<0.05). Conclusions: CSC MRI provides candidate neuroimaging biomarkers for early detection and characterization of myelopathy in MPS I and VI. Structural damage extends beyond primary maximal compression areas, highlighting these markers for clinical monitoring and future therapeutic trials.

18
Trends and Disparities in Respiratory Failure Mortality with Co-Listed Atrial Fibrillation and Flutter Among U.S. Adults Aged >= 65 Years, 1999 to 2024, with AAMR Forecasts Through 2035: A CDC Wonder Analysis

Seher, W.; Masood, H. A.; Jamil, A.; Fiza, S.; Jehangir, A.; Hafeez, R.; Arbab, M.; Ahmad, R.; Ullah, H.; Sharma, S. P.

2026-10-16 respiratory medicine 10.64898/2026.10.15.26365608 medRxiv
Top 1%
0.2%
Show abstract

Abstract Background: Respiratory failure (RF) and atrial fibrillation/flutter (AF/AFL) often occur together in older adults, but long-term national mortality trends for the two conditions combined have not been described. We examined trends and disparities in deaths with co-listed RF and AF/AFL among U.S. adults aged 65 years and older from 1999 to 2024, and projected rates through 2035. Methodology: We used the CDC WONDER Multiple Cause of Death database to identify deaths with ICD 10 codes J96 (RF) and I48 (AF/AFL) listed together. Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) per 100,000 were standardized to the 2000 U.S. population and stratified by sex, race/ethnicity, census region, urbanization, state, and place of death. Joinpoint regression was used to estimate annual percent changes (APCs) and average annual percent changes (AAPCs). Forecasts for 2025 to 2035 were generated with an exponential smoothing (ETS) model. Results: A total of 433,598 deaths were recorded. The overall AAMR rose from 12.8 in 1999 to 66.7 in 2024 (AAPC 8.11%; 95% CI, 7.35 to 8.87; P < 0.0001). Three segments were identified: an increase from 1999 to 2018 (APC 7.73%), a sharp rise from 2018 to 2021 (APC 18.10%), and a decline from 2021 to 2024 (APC -5.25%). Males had a higher AAMR and a steeper increase than females (AAPC 8.44% vs 7.81%). Non-Hispanic White adults had the highest mean AAMR, Hispanic adults had the largest relative increase (AAPC 8.72%), and Non-Hispanic Asian/Pacific Islander adults had the smallest (AAPC 6.23%). The Midwest had the fastest regional growth (AAPC 9.35%). From 1999 to 2020, non-metropolitan areas increased faster than metropolitan areas (AAPC 10.09% vs 8.21%). State AAMRs ranged from 24.7 in Ohio to 85.1 in Louisiana. Most deaths occurred in hospital inpatient settings (64.1%), followed by nursing homes (14.1%) and the home (11.9%). The model projects an AAMR of 122.96 per 100,000 by 2035 (95% prediction interval, 85.42 to 160.50). Conclusions: Mortality involving RF with AF/AFL among older U.S. adults increased more than fivefold over 25 years, with a marked surge during the COVID 19 period and only a partial decline afterward. Differences by sex, race/ethnicity, region, and urbanization point to groups that may benefit from earlier detection and coordinated cardiopulmonary care.

19
Morphometric Brain Networks at Ultra-Low Field: A First Assessment of Feasibility and Reliability

Karoui, H.; Bouke, N. J.; Cole, J. H.; Yeow, R. W.; Dick, F.; Razin, R.; Thomas, D. L.; Schroder, K. H.; Cash, D.; Bocchetta, M.; Williams, S. C.; Vasa, F.

2026-10-19 radiology and imaging 10.64898/2026.10.17.26365791 medRxiv
Top 1%
0.2%
Show abstract

Background: Ultra-low field (ULF) magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) offers accessible point-of-care neuroimaging, yet its capability to support multivariate network analyses remains understudied. Methods: We systematically evaluated the feasibility and reliability of Morphometric Similarity Networks (MSN) and Morphometric Inverse Divergence (MIND) networks derived from paired high-field (HF, 3T/1.5T) and ULF (64mT) scans in a primary cohort(N=23) and an independent replication cohort (N=19). We tested the impact of super-resolution processing, cortical parcellation granularity (Desikan-Killiany vs. Destrieux), and mesh resolution (fsnative vs. fsaverage5) on edge-level cross-scanner agreement (Lin's concordance correlation coefficient, CCC) and subject-level identifiability. Results: MIND networks demonstrated higher edge-level HF-ULF agreement (mean CCC = 0.95) and ULF reproducibility (mean CCC = 0.98) compared to MSNs (mean CCC = 0.86-0.87 and 0.91-0.94, respectively). In contrast, MSNs yielded higher subject-level differential identifiability across field strengths due to a broader distinction between within- and between-subject similarity. Reconstructing MIND networks on native high-resolution meshes (fsnative) maximised cross-scanner agreement, whereas coarser meshes and finer cortical parcellations enhanced individual network identifiability. Conclusions: Structural similarity networks can be reliably constructed from ULF MRI data. Optimal analytic choices depend on study objectives: MIND on native meshes maximises cross-scanner stability, whereas MSNs excel at preserving individual uniqueness, paving the way for globally scalable connectomic research.

20
Impact evaluation of Lean Healthcare in emergency departments: evidence from a large-scale Brazilian initiative using difference-in-differences

de Araujo, F. A. S.; Ikawa, J. N. R.; Lima, A. d. S.; Bernz, L. M.; CORREIA, L. R.

2026-10-21 health economics 10.64898/2026.10.16.26365212 medRxiv
Top 1%
0.2%
Show abstract

Background: Lean Healthcare has been adopted as an approach to reducing waste, enhancing process efficiency, and optimizing clinical and administrative workflows. However, empirical evaluations aimed at establishing a causal relationship between Lean Healthcare interventions and outcomes remain limited. This evidence gap is particularly pronounced in the context of large-scale implementations in low- and middle-income countries, where more efficient allocation could yield substantial improvements in population health. Methods: We conducted an impact evaluation study employing a staggered difference-in-differences approach to estimate the effects of the Lean Healthcare in Emergency Departments (ED) initiative in the Brazilian context. The intervention was implemented between January 2017 and December 2025 across 309 hospitals. We analyzed hospital-level indicators of the number of hospitalizations and the average length of stay (in days) among patients admitted through urgent or emergency pathways. Results: Our estimates suggest that the intervention was associated with an average increase of 38.6 admissions per hospital per month (p = 0.033), corresponding to approximately a 5.9% increase relative to the monthly admission volume. We also observed a reduction of 0.184 days in the average length of stay (p = 0.058), equivalent to an approximately 3.0% decrease in hospitalization time. These effects exhibited distinct temporal dynamics: the effect on the number of hospitalizations emerged gradually and increased with the duration of the intervention, whereas the reduction in length of stay became evident earlier. Conclusion: This study provides evidence of a causal effect of Lean Healthcare implementation in emergency departments on operational performance. The simultaneous increase in admissions and reduction in length of stay suggests improved bed productivity and effective capacity without expanding physical infrastructure. These findings support the use of flow-management methodologies as an effective strategy for mitigating emergency department overcrowding while increasing service capacity.